   "   "
 


  :

   ,    ( ,   )           :       ,         200 

 :  2050 .

 : hard SF,  , -, ,  .

 : ,      .

/ :    , -,   ,    -.

 : , ,    -.

: 45-90 .

 : -,   .

 :  + .         .





 

   "   "





  ,    -  ¨   .





 .

   .                         .

  ,       .


 

 ( ,   ,    ):

            .                      .    ,  ,         .



 (  ):

    ,        . :     ,   .



 ():

 . .  :  .    ,    .






 -  .      .

 (, ,  ):

        .                -  29     .



 (  ):

-  .



:

            ,     .



 ():

    .



:

          ,  ,    ,       .



 ():

 ,      .



:

 ,  ,     ...     .



 (, ,   ):

    ,      .  .  ,      .          . . ,   ,     ,    .    .   .



 (,  ):

 , ,      !     .   !    .        ,         ?   !



 ():

      .    .     .   10.    ,       1.5  3   ,   78       .     .     ,     .  .    .



 (, ,  ):

 ...      , .        .       .   0.5...     0.80.9.   . ?



 ( ):

 , .  .   ,    .     .   2. .             0.4  1.      . 2    .  .      .



 ( ):

  !     ,   .   100%!     !       .       ,    .       !



 ():

   .      .     .      .   0.01.  . ?           .     .    .      :         0.0017.



 (,  ):

 0.0017...  ,      ,   .    . , ...      .  ,       .        ,      ?



 ():

 .    0.01. ,  .    ,     ?     ,       .   .         .



 (,   ):

   ,     ?  !         !   10 000 . !    , ,            !     ,    200!    10 000,    .    !



 ( ):

 . , ,  ,  .  . .



 (, ):

 ,  .   :    10,     0.9,   0.1,   1,   0.0017,   0.01,   10 000. .



 ( ):

  ?



 ():

 10 ? 0.9 ? 0.1 ? 1 ? 0.0017 ? 0.01 ? 10 000 = 0.153.  15.3%.



 ():

     250  ,    !  0.153  250     !  38  250  .



 ():

    .         ?     .     .        ,      .    . ... ()       .



:

-   .        40  , :         3040  .      ,    .

      .

 (, ):

     .    .       .         .    .    ...    .



 ( ):

     .      .       . , ,   .



 ( ,    ):

    .           .   ,   .   ,    .    .   ,   .  .



 (,  ):

      ,   .   .    .



 (׸):

    .        .   ,     ,   : ,   .  . ,       .  ,  ,       , ,    .



 ():

    .  .



:

  , , . ,  ,    .       ,           .



 ( ,   ):

     .  .       .     , .    .



 (ظ,  ,   ):

   .    .       ,       .




    

                       .




  ?  .

 (,  ):

       .          .            :   ?.       , -,   . ,  .



 (,     ):

 , .      ,       :   ,  ,  ? ,   .   .   ,   ,   .        .         .



 ():

       .     ,        ,     ,      - .           .  ,   1950      ,   :   ?



 (, ):

 ?   , .        .



 ():

 , .         ,   .           .     .   ,        ,   ,    .      .       14    ,   ,        ,     .     .



 (, ,  ):

     .   ,  ,   .     ,     ?



 ():

    :   .   .   :      ,    ,   ,    .  ,      ,    ,  ,      .       .      .



 ():

  ,   .     :   .     .   ,   . , ,    ?



 ( ):

  ,     ,   .      ,  .            :  .



 (,  ):

  .     ,         .       ,      .      .  ,  , ,  ȅ



 (  ):

     ,   ,      .     .



 (,  ):

       .    ,     .     .       .



 (, ):

 !  ,     .     .    .           ,    . ,   . , ,      .    -       .



 ():

 ?  .         .    ,  .   ,          .   ,      .     .          ,      .



 ():

  ,      .  .    -   ,    ,    .   ,       .       ,     .



(:   ,     .)



 ():

       ,   .     ,      . ,   .



 ( , ):

 ,  .     ,       .    .   .            .     ,      ,    ,   .    ,  .  ,  ,  ,     .



 ():

     , .  ?  ?   ,      ,  .   ,  .



 (,   ):

  ,         ,      ?  ,          :     ,  .      .     ,    .   .



 ():

    ?   ?        ?



 (, ):

      ,        ,    . ,       ,  .      .         .     .



 (, ):

     :   ,    .   ,       . ,  ,     ?



 (    ):

  ,    .    ,  ,        ,    .       .   ,    , ,       .



 ( ):

    -    ,     .



 ( ):

  , ,      ,     . ,  ,  ,       :   . ,  ,       ,  ,   ,     .



 (,  ):

    ,     .     .      , .



 (  ):

 .  :       .




   

  ,                  .


 : ,    .



 (,  ):

 .    -  .  ,    ,     .   ,      .



 ():

  1964       ,   :         .    ,   ,   .  .  .    . , ?



 (,  ):

    .      . , , ,      .        .    .  , ,  .     ,  ,    .       ,   .            .



 ():

-   ?



 ( ):

-           ?  ?



 ():

- ,     .



 ():

    .     .             ,    .



 ():

-    ,    ,    .



 ( ):

-          .       ,    ,  ,  .



:

    .          .            .       ,  ,     . , ,    .



 (,   ):

  .      .       .   ,    .  ,    ,      ?



 ():

-   , ,  .     .      .    , , ?



 (,  ):

    !        .        .    I, II, III   : 0.7, 1.2   . :       ,   ,  ,      .        . :    0,1      1,26 .   .  ,      1973    0.7.  2012-  0.72,  2020-  0.73.  ,    .  ,         100200 .



 (,  ):

    .       .    ?         .



 ():

    !      .    .  A        .        : B ()    , C ()   ,   .     !  1973       H  .   20242025      S  .         !   .



 ( ):

  , ,  ,     .          ,      .   .



 (,   ):

  .    :    ,   .     ,  .       .



 ():

-    ,            .    ,       .



 (, ):

  ,  ,       .       ,   .     .    :    ,    .   .     ,      ,  ,      .  ,     .   , , ,       ,    .     .          .       .



 ( ):

     .  .



 ():

   ,        .        .             .    ,       .       ,    .



 ():

-      I  ,      .   ,           ?



:

-         .     100 ,   1000   ,   .



 ():

      .  .       .   ,      ,      ,   .



 (,  ):

   !    .     .    :      .    .  ,  ,   . , ,          ,      .         .



 (,  ):

 ,   -        .  ,   ,        .      .  , .      ,   ,    .      ,      . ,  ,  .




  

                   .


        .



 (,  ,  ,  ):

   ,    .     ,   ,    -    ?           ?



:

-             II        .     :      ,      ,    .       ,         .



:

       .       ,     .        ,    0,73   .



 ():

-  ,   ? , ,           .          ,  .



 (,  , ):

 .      :     .   .   ,      .  :     . II      ,     .  ,  ,   .   .



:

     ,                 .    ,     .        .



 (  ):

       .    ,    . , ,   ,         .     .       .  ,    .   .     .



 ():

               ,     .    , ,  ,     .       II      ,      .         .     ,     .



 (, ):

   ,       .      .     ,   .   ,   .



 ():

         ,      ,    . ,  ,      III,   1450    ,  :    ,    ,            .      ,   XV    ,    ,    ,     ,         .      .     .   :     ,          ,   ?



 ():

 .         ,   .



:

       ?



:

        .    ,      .



 ():

-       .



 (    ):

 ,  ,        ?  ,          .



 ():

     .        .   ,  .



 ():

    :   .        , ,     .    .              ,        .     ,      .    ,         .



 ():

       .    ,             .    .   ,    ,     .     .      ,           .



:

      .     ,      .     ,          .      ,    .     ,   :         . ,     ,       .   -     .



:

         ,    .   ,        . ,      ,   .         . ,    ,   ,      . ,    ,      II   .        ,    .



 ():

      .       .   ,    .



 ():

  :      . II    ,        .       ,      .         .            .      ,       .



:

         .    ,  .       , .         .   . ,  ,      .



:

        ,          .        . 14  1561          : , ,        ,    - .       ,     ,   ,       .  :   ,    .        .     ,     .



:

 .   ,      .          ,   .     .



 ():

- ,             ,       .



 ():

-    .



 (  ):

 , ,   . ,     .



 (   -    ):

      .  ,  .       .



:

  :     -.      , -,  .  ,     .         .     :     ?      .          .



:

 :        ;      ;     . ,    ,  II  .



 (  ):

      .     .   ,         .     ,   .      ,    .      .    ,       .



:

 ,    ,   ,      .       ,      , , ,  . ,  218    ,     ,      ,    .      .   173               .   76        ,      ,   .         .      .     .



:

     .      ,    .    ,         .



 ():

       ?    ,     .     .



 ():

  :   .  II    ,      ,   ,  .         .    ,           .      .   , . ,  ,    ,        .



:

   ,         .       .          .



:

  , ,       .             .      .    ,         ,    ,      .       . , ,    .       ,      ,      . , ,   .            :       ,   ,     ,      .



 ():

    ,      .      .          .     .    .



 ():

       .  ,        .



:

  :    . II         .  : ,     ,          ;   ,       ;     ;   .       ,  .       , ,           .    , ,  .



 (  ,   ):

      .    .    ,  .     ,    .    ,    .      .   .  .



 ():

      .     ,     .     .      ,      ,     .  235          - ,        ,    .     .       .              ,   .                .           .      .



:

 2         ,          ,       .    ,     .



 (, ):

      .   ,   II    .       .



:

  :    .       .           .          , .   , .          .        .    , , .  .      ,  .       ,   .         .  :  ,   . ,    .



:

           ,   .         .        ,       .  ,         .     ,        .  , ,   .   ,            ,      .   .    ,    .



:

   .       . ,    .          .     ,        .    ,    ,    .   II           .         .



:

     .      .    .



:

  : Ҹ      . 2  ,         3 .     ,        .      ,  ,   .         .        :    ,   ,   .        .        .



 (  ):

   .    ,      .   , ,    .   .   ,     .      ,      .  1947 ,  -      ,      ,  ,     .     .    .     :    ,  ,        .



:

 ,     .     .    - ,       .    .



:

    ?



:

  ,   II ,             .



:

 ,            , ,    3 ,   ,    .



:

 Ҹ    ,   .   ,   ,     .



:

  ,       ,     :     . 2                    . :       ;        ;    . :    ,     -  ;    , ,  ;       .          .   ,   .         . :   ,       .     .



:

   ,     .  ,   .      . ,   .



:

      :  . 2             . :          ,  , ;     . :   ,    ;     ,  ;  ,  ,           .          ,   . :      ;     ;  ,     .



 ():

    .       ,    ,  .



 ():

   :          ;           ,      ;   :     I ,    , ,     .



:

      II      ,    .  ,     : ,      ,                 ,      .       .



:

        II   , ,     ,        .     ,   .         .



:  ,   .



:

      .  :       ,      ?



 ( ):

   ,   .   ,  .    .   ,       .         ,   .



:

  Ҹ ? ,   ,     ? ,         ,  ?



:

 .      .       ,  ,  .    ,      0,7.



 ():

    ,    .      .



.



 ():

          ,   ,   .        ,    . ,  , ,    ,       ,  ,   .                 .  ,    .



 ( ):

 .    :   ,   ,   ,   .     , .     ,  .     .



:

    .       ,    .    ,         ,  .  .  .  . ,    .   .



 ():

 .        ,        .      .    , , .         .

:

-         ,     .       .




  

    ,     ,    .     ,    . (     ) -           :  .       -,      ,     , ,       .




   ,        :

Speaker 1:    The Debate. , --,        ,     , ,   .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:  ,      ,      , --,       .

Speaker 2: ,      .

Speaker 1:  .     ,      , --,          -   .

Speaker 2:   .

Speaker 1: ,  .         .       , --,    ,  .

Speaker 2:    :    -    ,    ,         , , ,      .   ,    .

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:  ,  ,     ,   .

Speaker 1:  ,      :      ,      , --,  ?     ,           ,     ?

Speaker 2:  ,  ,      .

Speaker 1: .    ,      .   .     ,        ,           .

Speaker 2:    ,      ,  , .              .

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:  ,   : " ,  ,       ."

Speaker 1: ,    ,     .    :        .

Speaker 2: ,     ?

Speaker 1:     .  ,       ?       ,   .   ,  .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:         ,    .  ,        ,      .

Speaker 2:  , .

Speaker 1: ,      ,   ,    ,    .  ,    ,   ,      ,       .

Speaker 2:  , ,       .     ,      ,  , ,  .

Speaker 1:   ,  , --,     .

Speaker 2:  ,           .       .

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:  ,  ,            .    ,    .

Speaker 1: ,    .

Speaker 2:     ?     .

Speaker 1:  -

Speaker 2: ,    .   ,      ,   ,     .

Speaker 1: --.

Speaker 2:     ,      .

Speaker 1: ,  ,    ,      .        , , ,   .   ,  -   .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:        .      ,     , ,  -.

Speaker 2:  ?

Speaker 1:         ,        , ,  ?

Speaker 2:       .

Speaker 1: .          .     -,         ,      .

Speaker 2: ,    .

Speaker 1:       .      ,     ,      .

Speaker 2: ,  .

Speaker 1:         .  ,           ,       , , ,    .          .

Speaker 2:  ,        .   .    .        .

Speaker 1:  .

Speaker 2: , .      ,   ,   .   ,           .

Speaker 1: ,  .

Speaker 2:   .  .       ,     .    .    ,     .

Speaker 1: , .

Speaker 2:      .      .  . ? ,      ?

Speaker 1: ,  ?

Speaker 2: ,   ,     .        ,         .

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:     .              .      ?

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:   ,   ,  ,    ,   , ,  .

Speaker 1:       ,       .

Speaker 2:   ,      .       .

Speaker 1:   ?

Speaker 2:   .

Speaker 1:   .       .      ,          .

Speaker 2:  ,   .

Speaker 1:   .        ,    .  ,      .   ,     ?       ,    .       .

Speaker 2: ? , ,    .

Speaker 1:  .             ,   .          .     ,  .

Speaker 2: ,   ,      .

Speaker 1:     .         .       ,     .

Speaker 2:   ,     ?

Speaker 1:  ,  .      .     ,       .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:     .    ,      ,   .      .

Speaker 2:   .      ,     ?  .    .      .

Speaker 1:  .

Speaker 2:       ,    -.        .    , ,   .

Speaker 1:  , .

Speaker 2:          , , ,         .

Speaker 1: ,     ?

Speaker 2:          .  : ,   . ,  .  .

Speaker 1:   .

Speaker 2:      .                .

Speaker 1: !

Speaker 2: ,    ,   .          .

Speaker 1: !       .   , ,       ,         .

Speaker 2: .     .     . ,     -       .

Speaker 1: ,     .

Speaker 2: .       .               ,  ,      .

Speaker 1:   ,        .

Speaker 2: ,    , .     . ?

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:                .                ,      .

Speaker 1:  .

Speaker 2:   .        .    ,   ,    .

Speaker 1:       ? .       .           .   -  ,  ,  . ,   ,    .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:  :   ,  ,  .          .

Speaker 2:       .

Speaker 1: ,   .        .    ,     -   .          -   .

Speaker 2: ,    .

Speaker 1:    ,       ,     .      ,      .   ,              .

Speaker 2:   . ,       .      ,    ,    .   ?

Speaker 1:  .

Speaker 2: .       ?    ,       . ,  , .

Speaker 1:  -  .

Speaker 2: ,   ,  - ,        .      .    ,    , ,         .

Speaker 1:     .     .

Speaker 2: ,            .      ,     .

Speaker 1:         .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:    -      .

Speaker 2:  .

Speaker 1: . ,    . ,     .  ,   ,   .

Speaker 2:   ,              .

Speaker 1: ,  .

Speaker 2:     .      .  ,    ,        ,       .       .

Speaker 1:      ,  ,  ,    ,    ,     .

Speaker 2:        ?

Speaker 1:   -        . ,               .

Speaker 2:       .

Speaker 1: .   ,    ,     : "    .      ."

Speaker 2: ,  .

Speaker 1:  .       .       ,      .

Speaker 2:    .

Speaker 1:        .  , ,   ,    ,     .   ,    ,     .

Speaker 2:      .

Speaker 1: ,            ,  -.     .

Speaker 2:  , .

Speaker 1:            .     , ,           ,  .

Speaker 2: ,    .

Speaker 1:       ,   .        .  ,       ,    .

Speaker 2: ,   . ,   - , ,      .       ,         .

Speaker 1: .

Speaker 2:         , ,   ,     ,       ,          .

Speaker 1:  ,    ,    :  ,           .      -     .

Speaker 2:  -  .

Speaker 1:        ,  ,             ,      ,      .

Speaker 2: .

Speaker 1:      ,  ,      ,      .          - .

Speaker 2: , .

Speaker 1:    ,          ,      .

Speaker 2: , ,   ,   .                 .      :      .

Speaker 1: ?

Speaker 2: .            .

Speaker 1:         .

Speaker 2:  ,         .     ,        .    , ,    .

Speaker 1:   ?

Speaker 2:        .

Speaker 1: , .

Speaker 2:   ,   ,      .

Speaker 1:   .

Speaker 2:   ,    ,          ,  .   ,  .       .    ,              .

Speaker 1:    .      ,    .      -      .   ,  ,     .                ?

Speaker 2:            ,  , ,  .

Speaker 1: .      ,         .      -    ,   .    ,            .




  .

 ( ,     ):

  ,       .        ,        .  ,  ,      .  :   ,     .    :     ,    .    .       .



:

      .            Ҹ ,    .  ,       ,    .  , ,       ,  .              ,    .



:

    . ,               .        ,        .    ,        ,       .  .      .



:

       .            Ҹ .  ,       ,   ,   .       ,    . ,      ,       ,  ,   .                 ,   .  ,    .



:

  ,  ,          .   ,     ,   ,    .     ,  .  ,         ,       .



 ( ,  ):

  ,     ? , ,           .      ,   ,    .          ,  .     , , .         .             ,     .



 (,   ):

        .     .       .   ,  ,       .   ,    .       .  . . .    ,    .



 ( ,   ):

 :       .   ,   .     . ,    .    .




  .

 ( ,    ):

  .  ?     : , , , ,  .        50 .    ,    .  ?



 (,   ):

      .  .    ,   . .   .     ,   .



 ():

   .    .    ,   .



 (    ):

    .      .



 ():

     .   .    .




 .

           .              :  .              .






  50-100   -  ¨   .





 .

   .                         .

  ,       .




 /  .

 ( ,  ,    ):

     .     ,     . : ,    50  .           ,  .       50       , , ,  .        ?   ?   ,        ?






  50   + 50  .       .  



 (,    ):

   :



            ,     .



 ():

    .



:

-                -  29     .



 (  ):

-  .



:

-           ,  ,    ,       .



 ():

 ,      .



:

-       ? ,  .



 (,  ):

    ,   ,      .       0,9%  .    , 50      210 .     .   ,  ,  .      -  ,  .        ,    140150 .




  .


   .

   ,     (https://www.litres.ru/book/raznoe/stsenarii-podkasta-vsegalakticheskii-zakon-pervogo-kontakta-74414287/)  .

      Visa, MasterCard, Maestro,    ,   ,     ,  PayPal, WebMoney, ., QIWI ,       .


